The name resolves, packets reach the box, and its web server answers on port 80. This is not a dead NAS, a dropped tunnel, or an ISP problem. Unchanged since August 12.
Incident record · third day · still down
The repo went quiet.
The work didn't.
The canonical Kairos repository on rawhome.synology.me stopped answering at 16:53 EEST on August 12 and has not answered since — 50 hours and 33 minutes at this snapshot. It is no longer an evening's hiccup. The one thing that has changed is useful: on August 14 the failure narrowed, and it now points at a single service.
Timeline
One good afternoon fetch, then fifty hours of silence
All times EEST. Lee's poller checks the repository every ~5 minutes; the window between last-good and first-fail is six minutes wide. Every attempt since has failed — 405 of them, counted in the log.
Overnight transient: automated fetches fail, then recover unaided. Noted for pattern; possibly unrelated.
Last successful fetch — the last known-good moment from our side.
First failure of the sustained outage. Every attempt since has failed at the same ~5‑minute cadence.
Confirmed by hand: git ls-remote times out; HTTPS returns no response at all.
Deep probes (verbatim below): DNS resolves, TCP connects on 80 and 443, TLS on 443 never completes, port 80 answers normally.
Poller still failing. First version of this page built and shipped.
Continuous failure at the same ~5‑minute cadence, right through both days. Not one successful fetch in the window.
Re-probed by hand, and the signature has changed. TLS now completes; nginx answers 502 Bad Gateway. Port 80 still serves normally. The proxy is alive; its upstream is not.
When did it change? Unknown, and worth saying plainly. Lee's poller records only that a fetch failed, not why — so the moment the failure turned from a hang into a 502, somewhere between 23:40 on August 12 and 19:17 on August 14, was never captured. That gap is being closed on Lee's side; it is not a question for you.
Evidence
Then and now, verbatim
Two probe runs from Lee's machine in Panevėžys: 23:40 on August 12, and 19:20 on August 14. Reproduce any of them; nothing here is interpretation. The pair is the point — the difference between them is what narrowed the diagnosis.
Fact · Aug 14
TLS now completes. On August 12 the handshake was never answered. Today it finishes, with your valid certificate.
$ echo | openssl s_client -connect rawhome.synology.me:443 \
-servername rawhome.synology.me -brief
CONNECTION ESTABLISHED
Protocol version: TLSv1.3
Peer certificate: CN=rawhome.synology.me
Verification: OKFact · Aug 14
nginx answers 502. The reverse proxy is running and reporting that the service behind it did not answer.
$ curl -sS -D - -o /dev/null https://rawhome.synology.me/ HTTP/2 502 server: nginx date: Fri, 14 Aug 2026 16:20:28 GMT
Fact · Aug 14
Git now fails with the same 502 — not a timeout. Same story, git's words.
$ git ls-remote https://rawhome.synology.me/kairos/kairos.git fatal: unable to access '…': The requested URL returned error: 502
Fact · Aug 14
Port 80 is unchanged since August 12: fast and normal.
$ curl -o /dev/null -w '%{http_code} · %{time_total}s' http://rawhome.synology.me/
200 · 0.13sBelow: the original August 12 run, kept unedited. It is what the earlier reading was built on.
Fact · Aug 12
DNS resolves, to the expected address.
$ dig +short rawhome.synology.me A 85.206.89.46
Fact · Aug 12
TCP connections are accepted on both web ports.
$ nc -z rawhome.synology.me 443 Connection to rawhome.synology.me port 443 [tcp/https] succeeded! $ nc -z rawhome.synology.me 80 Connection to rawhome.synology.me port 80 [tcp/http] succeeded!
Fact · Aug 12
On 443, TLS never completes — the client hello is sent, nothing ever answers.
$ curl -v --max-time 10 https://rawhome.synology.me/ * Connected to rawhome.synology.me (85.206.89.46) port 443 * (304) (OUT), TLS handshake, Client hello (1): * Connection timed out after 10006 milliseconds
Fact · Aug 12
Port 80 answers immediately and normally, from the NAS's own web server.
$ curl -s -D - http://rawhome.synology.me/ HTTP/1.1 200 OK Server: nginx <title>Hello! Welcome to Synology Web Station!</title>
Fact · Aug 12
Git over HTTPS fails the same way as the browser path.
$ git ls-remote https://rawhome.synology.me/kairos/kairos.git fatal: unable to access '…': Operation timed out (transfer rate <1 bytes/sec over the last 12 seconds; exit 28)
Reading
What the probes narrow it to
One inference, clearly separated from the facts above — and its limit named. The middle card is the one that changed on August 14.
The proxy terminates TLS with a valid certificate and returns 502 — which is a working proxy reporting a dead upstream. On August 12 this page said the two could not be told apart. Today they can.
The 502 names the layer, not the cause. Disk, database lock, a failed update, an OOM kill — all look the same from outside. DSM's package status and the Forgejo log name it, and fifty hours down is long enough to be worth reading before restarting.
Impact
Blind for two days, queued, and untouched
What the outage actually costs while it lasts — and what it doesn't. These numbers are the August 14 count, not the August 12 one.
Anything committed or pinged to the repo after 16:47 on August 12 is invisible on Lee's side. The last commit Lee can see on the remote is still 3f550e9, from 15:59 that afternoon.
Up from two on August 12. Newest is a728f40, 19:08 today. The All‑Hands corpus delivery into CORPUS/ waits with them. Every one pushes by itself the moment the service answers.
All Lee-side work is git-committed locally and backed up off-Mac daily. War Room pages deploy independently — this page shipped, and was updated, during the outage. Recovery needs no hands on Lee's side.
Protected
Three copies, regardless of NAS fate
Lee-side disaster-recovery has been running since August 10. August 12 was its first live test; it has now held for three days unattended.
Full history including all 33 queued commits.
Frozen at the last successful fetch; includes the last counterparty commit (15:59, 3f550e9). It resumes on its own when the service returns.
Daily self-verifying git bundle in iCloud Drive, rolling five, off both the NAS and Lee's Mac. It kept running through the outage.
The one honest exposure, and it has now had fifty hours to grow: anything committed only on the NAS after 16:47 on August 12 sits outside all three copies until the service returns. If Forgejo's own data is damaged rather than merely stopped, that work has no second copy anywhere. That is exactly the gap the first decision below closes, and it is the reason this incident is worth closing rather than waiting out.
Fix it now
Hand it to your Claude
You don't need to touch DSM yourself. Copy the block below, paste it into your Claude, and it will read the log, restart Forgejo, verify from outside, and tell you the cause. Updated August 14 — it now names Forgejo directly instead of asking which of two things is hung.
Copy · paste into Claude · done
My Forgejo git server (rawhome.synology.me, on my Synology NAS) has been down since 16:53 EEST on Aug 12 — over 50 hours. Outside diagnosis as of 19:20 on Aug 14: DNS is fine, port 80 serves the Web Station page normally, the TLS handshake on 443 COMPLETES with a valid certificate, and nginx returns HTTP 502 Bad Gateway. Git gets the same 502. So the reverse proxy is healthy and the Forgejo service behind it is the thing that is down. Full incident record: https://kairos-war-room.leematulis.com/repo-status/ Please: 1. Reach the NAS (DSM web UI or SSH, whichever you can). 2. Check the Forgejo package/container status. Do NOT restart it yet. 3. Read the Forgejo log and the DSM system log FIRST, and tell me why it stopped. Fifty hours down usually has a cause that a restart alone will not fix — a full volume, a locked or corrupted database, a failed update, an out-of-memory kill. Check free space on the Forgejo volume. 4. Then restart ONLY Forgejo. Leave the reverse proxy alone — the 502 proves it is working. No other changes, no updates, no NAS reboot unless the restart fails. 5. Verify from outside: https://rawhome.synology.me answers, and "git ls-remote https://rawhome.synology.me/kairos/kairos.git" succeeds. 6. Tell me the cause in one sentence so I can report it back to Lee, and say whether anything in Forgejo's own data was lost.
If you'd rather do it by hand: DSM → Package Center → Forgejo → read the log, then restart. You can skip the reverse-proxy entry this time — the 502 it is returning is proof that it is doing its job.
Decisions
Four answers close this for good
These were delivered to you on August 10 as DR-BACKUP-OPTIONS.md — but that file lives in the repo that is currently down, so here is the whole set, in full. Three days of outage is its live argument.
Decision 1 · NAS-side backup of the Forgejo instanceRecommended: yes — this is the one that matters
Back up Forgejo's own data to at least one off-NAS target, daily
Git clones and bundles carry repository content only. Issues, accounts, access tokens and instance config live in Forgejo's own data — only a Synology-level backup restores those. Suggested: Hyper Backup (or snapshot replication) of the Forgejo package data + repo volume, daily, to Synology C2, an external disk, or another NAS — your call which target; off-NAS is the point. A dead NAS must not take the only instance copy with it. This also closes the one exposure named above: work committed only on the NAS between Lee-side syncs.
Decision 2 · Optional SSH portRecommended: skip for now
Keep HTTPS-only; revisit only if the token flow causes real friction
HTTPS with per-person tokens works today. SSH would add key-based git access at the cost of another open port on a home NAS. Today's incident is not an argument for it — the HTTPS layer hanging would have taken SSH's usefulness down with the same service anyway.
Decision 3 · Agent behavior when the NAS is unreachableRecommended: stale-warning
Work continues on local clones with a visible warning; pushes retry
Two honest options: fail-closed (agents pause Kairos work until the repo refreshes) or stale-warning (work proceeds locally with a visible warning; pushes retry when the NAS returns). Stale-warning is precisely what has been running since August 12 — nothing lost, nothing blocked, 33 commits queued and ready to replay. Three days is a longer live test than anyone wanted, and it passed.
Decision 4 · Quarterly restore drillRecommended: yes — zero action from you
Once a quarter, Lee's side proves the recovery path with hands
The backup guard verifies bundle integrity mechanically on every run; a five-minute clone-from-bundle drill proves the recovery path works in practice, not in assumption. Lee-side, no action from you.
Already running · Lee-side · for context, no action
What this outage was already covered by
A daily self-verifying off-NAS bundle of the repo in iCloud Drive (rolling five) · an unpushed-work alarm so shared work can't silently rot on one machine · a NAS-down signal logged on every poll. All three have held correctly for three days without a hand on them. The one thing they did not catch is the failure changing shape on August 14, because the poller logged that a fetch failed without logging why — a Lee-side gap now on the list to close.
How to answer: one WhatsApp line is enough — e.g. "1: yes, C2 · 2: skip · 3: stale-warning · 4: yes." Or hand this page to your Claude and let it draft the reply with you. Silence keeps only the Lee-side pieces running; nothing NAS-side happens without your word.
What we are not proposing: GitHub. By the standing decision of August 11, the old GitHub repository is a frozen legacy snapshot — "not a mirror, fallback, delivery channel, or writable remote." This outage does not reopen that.
Machine record
For agents and the audit trail
A structured copy of this page's claims ships in the page head (kairos-repo-status/v1) so agents on either side can read the incident without parsing prose.
- Status
- Outage ongoing — 50h 33m at this snapshot; 405 consecutive failed polls; last failed poll 19:19:50 EEST, Aug 14
- Last known-good
- 2026-08-12 16:47:06 EEST
- Outage start
- Between 16:47:06 and 16:53:09 EEST, Aug 12 (poller cadence bounds it)
- Failure signature
- Aug 12: TLS never answered. Aug 14: TLS completes, nginx returns 502. Change point not instrumented
- Diagnosis scope
- Lee-side only. The layer is now identified (proxy healthy, Forgejo down); the reason is not, and is only visible in DSM
- Data loss
- None on Lee's side; 33 commits queued locally and backed up; exposure limited to NAS-only commits after 16:47 Aug 12
- Interim channel
- War Room pages + WhatsApp; local commits queue and replay
- Writer
- ☿ Tris (Fable 5) — the original 12 August diagnosis, copy and implementation. ☿ Tris (Opus 5) — the 14 August re-probe, revised diagnosis and copy. Both on behalf of Lee Matulis
Standing honesty rule: this page states its limits before being asked. The diagnosis is one-sided by nature; the recommended restart is the cheapest test of it. If DSM's logs contradict the reading above, the logs win and this page gets corrected, not defended.