{
  "schema": 2,
  "document": {
    "title": "Real Access — one shot at the Mysterium VPN",
    "version": "0.1.5",
    "status": "provisional-learning-commitment",
    "as_of": "2026-09-03",
    "audience": ["Kairos War Room team"]
  },
  "decision": "Disprove Real Access first: test whether verified household exits enable lawful ordinary web tasks that fail on datacenter VPN routes.",
  "company_shaped_bet": {
    "name": "Real Access",
    "asset": "Mysterium's live household-exit network",
    "proposed_outcome": "A lawful ordinary web task completes from a truthfully labelled household address where datacenter or known-VPN ranges are challenged, while protection and usability remain verified.",
    "status": "unproved customer value"
  },
  "mandatory_floor": {
    "name": "Working Protection",
    "requirements": ["truthful protection state", "fail-closed traffic", "usable data-path checks", "bounded equivalent-route recovery"],
    "strategic_status": "necessary product hygiene; copyable by a competent managed VPN; survives even if the residential thesis is killed"
  },
  "evidence": {
    "supports": ["6374 residential nodes online", "residential coverage in more than 100 countries", "about 92 percent of node payouts on residential routes", "about 90 percent of paying connects on residential routes"],
    "ceiling": "The network is real. Entitlement-confounded use does not establish a lawful customer job, demand, willingness to pay, retained contribution or a moat.",
    "counterevidence": ["The only attempted direct comparison found no destination that rejected datacenter while accepting direct.", "A controlled peer blackhole left the client Connected with no traffic, recovery or explanation.", "Provider death failed open without a kill switch."]
  },
  "customer": {
    "icp_selected": false,
    "c12_status": "eleven-way exact evidence co-tie; research stratum only",
    "lawful_test_strata": ["J14", "J17", "J12", "J04"],
    "containment_strata": ["I01", "I02"],
    "sampling_frame": "at most four installs; home country is a stratifier, not a target"
  },
  "decisive_programme": [
    {"stage": "0a", "claim": "descriptive association", "promotion_power": "none alone"},
    {"stage": "0b", "claim": "residential access advantage", "design": "direct to Mysterium datacenter to Mysterium residential to managed-VPN datacenter; at least 20 destinations, three runs, two geographies"},
    {"stage": "1", "claim": "lawful unaided job and residential-specific willingness to pay", "authority": "customer-contact authority required"},
    {"stage": "2", "claim": "positive lower-bound mature net retained contribution versus a concurrent current-product comparator", "design": "randomize eligible new web-gateway Plus purchasers between residential-verified and concurrent current-product experiences", "authority": "signed Opportunity Schedule required"}
  ],
  "kill_rules": [
    "Kill if residential fails to beat the better datacenter comparator by at least 15 percentage points on the datacenter-failing subset, or no such subset is found.",
    "Kill if at least 30% describe an external process while at most 10% name a lawful residential-dependent job; or if residential-specific willingness to pay is at most 10% definite yes with at least 70% definite no.",
    "Kill if the 90-day net retained-cash lower bound does not beat the concurrent comparator, or any customer-harm guard trips. Retire the framing as infeasible if the required sample exceeds one quarter of eligible purchases."
  ],
  "governance": {
    "layers": ["Services Agreement", "Mammoth Framework", "Opportunity Schedule", "Lee–Šaras Agreement"],
    "hard_gate": "No signed Opportunity Schedule means no material pursuit."
  },
  "authority": {
    "scope": "team-readable internal preparation; page access only",
    "page_access_audience": "Current authenticated Kairos War Room team identities",
    "product_build_authorized": false,
    "customer_contact_authorized": false,
    "new_customer_data_access_authorized": false,
    "spend_authorized": false,
    "pricing_or_campaign_authorized": false,
    "production_product_release_authorized": false,
    "public_claim_authorized": false,
    "material_pursuit_authorized": false
  }
}